On to today's picks....
CJ Wilson +190 @ CC Sabathia -235, 8.5
Again, like Haren yesterday, I love this game strictly for value. The oddsmakers are basically saying that the Yankees have a 70-80% chance of winning with that line, but I think it's much closer than that. Consider this: Texas split with the Yankees in Yankee stadium last year, 3-3 and even took one of the two series, not an easy task. CC Sabathia has already thrown 215 pitches in only 13 innings so far this year!! That means that Girardi will keep him on a short leash. CC is 7-3 vs Texas in his career, but only has a pedestrian 4.50 era in those games. CJ Wilson on the other hand has a 3.24 era against NYY. Play this for the value, and thank me tomorrow.
Pick: Rangers +190
Edwin Jackson -115 @ Jon Garland -105, 7.5
Neither of these pitchers scream under to me, and neither has fared well against their current opponent. Jackson has a career 0-2 record with a 7.53 era against SD, and Garland has a 6.67 era against Arizona. Both of these offenses have shown signs of breaking out lately, and the current total on the game reflects the Petco Park factor.
Pick: Over 3.5 (first 5 innings) -115
Posts
