Sunday, April 11, 2010

Week 1 Recap

Finished week 1 with a sparkling 11-4 record and +690 units. The breakdown:

3-0 on Under (first 5 innings) bets = +300 units
5-2 Moneyline bets on favorites = +255 units
1-0 Moneyline bets on underdogs = +145 units
1-0 on Over bets = +100 units
1-1 on Under bets = -10 units
0-1 on Runline bets = -100 units

The lesson:

Under (first 5 innings) bets - These are one of my favorite types of bets, because when I gamble on baseball, the obvious focus for me (as a former starting pitcher) is starting pitching. Taking the bet out of the bullpen's hands is the best way to assure that your research will mainly be applied to those SP's. All 3 games I won this way this week, would have been in danger of losing, if I had played the total for the entire game.

Runline betting - Even though this was the only betting style I was "losing" on this week, this is a very smart way to bet sometimes. It allows you to get good value on extremely good pitching matchups. I advise using the runline betting when you have an SP that is a -180 favorite or better, and you like the offense that supports that pitcher. The logic is, you expect the SP to shut down the offense, and you have the same confidence that they will win the game by 2, instead of squeaking out a 1 run win. Taking the odds from -180 to say +115 in this scenario makes perfect sense. Expect to see alot more of these types of bets in the upcoming weeks.

Underdog betting - This is by far my favorite way to bet, and pretty soon, I will unleash the updated CUTTY© Underdog Program™. Stay tuned...

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