Even though the reds have won 3 out of their last 4, they only have 13 runs during those 4 games. Offense is going to be even harder to come by against today's starting pitcher. "Ricky-No" has been mentioned on this blog before, and I love his potential, especially against such a strike out-prone group like the Reds. Their best hitter, Joey Votto, has really struggled since he hit a HR opening day. I think Johnny Cueto can and will be a great pitcher in the NL, but I don't like his chances on the road. As long as Nolasco can avoid the long-ball, he should be good for a win today, even at this price.
Pick: Marlins -145
Jake Peavy -125 @ Brian Tallet +105, 8
Here are some eye-opening trends for an early season matchup. The Blue Jays have already won their last 5 games, and the Sox haven't won in Canada in 10 straight games!! I'm riding Vernon Wells' hot bat here. I've already picked correctly against Peavy once this year, and he didn't pitch well enough last start (3 runs, 7 hits in 5 IP) for me to change my mind on him. For Toronto's home opener, they trot out Brian Tallet, an underrated lefty who pitched really well in his first start. Rid the hot team until they make you pay.
Pick: Blue Jays +105
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